Enjoying the last few weeks of summer, makes us all start to think of fall.  With a summer of heat and a steady market, we are looking a busy fall with listings and sales.


Sharing with you the CREB forecast, enjoy your summer days and looking forward to fall. 


CREB® forecasts a process of recovery for the remainder of 2017


The first-half of 2017 marked a shift in Alberta's economy from recession to recovery, with conditions supporting stability rather than expansion.


"Economic challenges continue to exist, as high unemployment rates, weak migration levels and more stringent lending conditions are weighing on the housing market," said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie. 


"This will continue to cause some adjustments in the housing market for the remainder of this year. However, this is not expected to offset earlier gains supporting general stability in 2017." 


Resale sales activity is expected to total 18,401 units in 2017, a 3.3 per cent improvement over last year. The pace of growth is slightly faster than originally anticipated, due to the stronger growth that occurred in the first half of the year.  


"We saw many of those consumers who delayed any purchasing decisions willing to re-enter the market as concerns regarding the economy eased," said CREB® president David P. Brown. 


"More potential buyers on the market helped move some of the product in inventory and started to create some price stability." 


Improvements in the supply demand balance, primarily in the detached and attached sector, caused prices to start to trend up. Demand growth through the remainder of the year is expected to ease relative to inventory levels. This should prevent further substantial shifts in pricing. Overall, annual city wide prices are expected to remain at levels comparable to last year.


Despite generally improving trends, difficulties continue to exist in the condo-apartment ownership market. Rising sales cannot keep pace with the growth in new listings, keeping supply levels high and placing continued downward pressure on prices. This area of the housing market will likely continue to face challenges well into next year, as it will take time to absorb additional inventory in the resale, new and rental markets. 


"Improvements in the labour market are supporting the shift in the housing market this year. However, activity over the past two years was amongst the weakest we have seen since the financial crisis," said Lurie.


"While the shift is welcome news for many, we continue to expect that process of recovery will be slow and dependent on the property type and location within the market." 


For more information, please refer to the CREB®'s 2017 Economic Outlook & Regional Housing Market Mid-Year Update found here




 

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Looking to moving forward this fall with the work-in-progress market.

Statisitics from the Calgary Real Estate Board, August 2107.

 

 


Housing recovery remains a work-in-progress

Market sees modest inventory gains, but overall prices inch up

Sales exhibited stable growth through the first half of the year in the Calgary housing market, but the number of transactions slowed slightly in July compared to last year. 


City-wide sales totaled 1,637 units, six per cent below July 2016 levels. Year-to-date sales activity totaled 11,957 units, nine per cent above last year.

"Sales growth exceeded expectations so far this year. Clients were re-entering the market after delaying decisions until there were some signs of economic improvement," said CREB® president David P. Brown.  


"However, this recovery will require patience. There continues to be many new and resale ownership options available. This reduces the sense of the urgency for many consumers." 

Easing sales were met with higher new listings, causing further gains in inventory levels. City-wide months of supply rose to four months, as inventory levels reached 6,675 units this month. This is 17 per cent higher than last year, but still below July highs recorded in 2008. 


"Modest improvements in the labour market and net migration were necessary to support the turnaround in the housing market," said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.


"However, current inventory levels and changes in the lending market continue to weigh on housing demand.  Easing demand growth combined with elevated levels of supply will slow the pace of price recovery in our market." 

Driven by detached and attached housing sales, city-wide prices in July improved over the previous month and the previous year. However, it is nearly four per cent below previous monthly highs. Year-to-date benchmark averages remain 0.44 per cent below last year's levels. 


Despite the current month activity, the detached sector continues to demonstrate conditions that are more balanced compared to last year.  


Apartment condominium product continues to face oversupply in the resale and new home sector, causing further price declines. In July, the apartment benchmark price was $266,200. This is a three per cent decline over last year and nearly 12 per cent below peak prices. 


For a full analysis of the Calgary housing market in 2017, please refer to CREB®'s 2017 mid-year update to be released in mid-August.

 

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package. 

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package. 

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